As part of research within the 'Communities and Wellbeing' work package in the Scottish Government's Strategic Research Programme (2016-2021), a multidisciplinary research team including researchers at the James Hutton Institute and Scotland's Rural College are working to answer the following question:
What are the links between trends in farming/crofting/key rural industries and population change, and how do these affect the provision of ecosystem services, and threaten the resilience of rural communities?
This question is at the core of 'Demographic change in remote areas' (formally, Research Deliverable 3.4.1). This page will be used to share research outputs from the work.
If you would like any further information on this research or any content on this page, please contact Jonathan Hopkins [1] and Ruth Wilson [2].
Research outputs: working papers and research notes
As part of this project, working papers have been produced and are available below. Additionally, short summaries of the key messages from the working papers are available.
A research brief/short report: "Population projections and an introduction to economic-demographic foresight for Scotland’s sparsely populated areas (2018-43)" has been published in September 2020.
download: brief [3]
A four page research note: “Demographic change in the Sparsely Populated Areas of Scotland (1991-2046)” has been produced in March 2018 to summarise key findings from the first three working papers.
download: note [4]
WP1: Copus, A. and Hopkins, J. (2017) Outline Conceptual Framework and Definition of the Scottish Sparsely Populated Area (SPA)
download: working paper [5], summary [6]
WP2: Hopkins, J. and Copus, A. (2018) A Demographic Profile of the Scottish Sparsely Populated Area (SPA) 1991-2037
download: working paper [7]
WP3: Copus, A. (2018) Demographic Projections for the Scottish Sparsely Populated Area (SPA) 2011-2046
download: working paper [8]
WP4: Wilson, R. and Copus, A. (2018) Services of General Interest (SGI) in the Scottish Sparsely Populated Area (SPA): Introduction, Classification by Delivery Mode, and Selection of Exemplar Services.
download: working paper [9]
WP5: Hopkins, J. and Copus, A. (2018) The Scottish Sparsely Populated Area (SPA): Agricultural and key rural industry trends
download: working paper [10]
WP7: Wilson, R. and Copus, A. (2018) Services of General Interest (SGI) in the Scottish Sparsely Populated Area (SPA): Exemplar Services.
download: working paper [11]
WP8: Copus, A. (2019) A Backcasting Scenario Framework for Demographic Sustainability in the Scottish SPA.
download: working paper [12]
Data resources
Note: the following resources apply to an old definition of the SPA and its subregions which were used for analysis and reference in the research note “Demographic change in the Sparsely Populated Areas of Scotland (1991-2046)” and in the working papers. For the research brief/short report "Population projections and an introduction to economic-demographic foresight for Scotland’s sparsely populated areas (2018-43)" and further work, the SPA and subregions were re-calculated and have different spatial extents. Data resources for the most recent version of the SPA are not currently available (for more information on the re-definition and data sources used, please see the latter brief/short report).
2011 Output Areas (rural areas and small towns, only), population potential and Sparsely Populated Area definition, Scotland. This table shows the number of people who lived (in 2011) within 30 minutes travel from the 13,814 Output Areas in rural areas and small towns in Scotland. download: data [13], metadata [14]
Lookup tables, showing the geographical units associated with the Sparsely Populated Area (SPA) in Scotland. For further information on the content of these lookup tables, and data sources/methods used to produce them, please consult the WP1 working paper and its Appendix.
Lookup tables, showing all geographical units and their accompanying region/subregion definitions. For further information on the content of these lookup tables, and data sources/methods used to produce them, please consult Annex 2 of working paper 2 (WP2) and the WP1 working paper and its Appendix.
Useful resources from external sites:
Theme 3: Food, Health and Wellbeing - Tender Document (link [32])
Work Package 3.4 Communities and Wellbeing - Research Summary (link [33])
Links:
[1] mailto:jonathan.hopkins@hutton.ac.uk
[2] mailto:ruth.wilson@hutton.ac.uk
[3] https://www.hutton.ac.uk/sites/default/files/files/research/srp2016-21/rd341briefprojectionsandforesightintro.pdf
[4] https://www.hutton.ac.uk/sites/default/files/files/research/srp2016-21/RD3.4.1%20Note%20WP1-3%20web%20-%20published.pdf
[5] https://www.hutton.ac.uk/sites/default/files/files/RD 3_4_1 Working Paper 1 O1_1 161117.pdf
[6] https://www.hutton.ac.uk/sites/default/files/files/RD3_4_1%20Note%201.docx.pdf
[7] https://www.hutton.ac.uk/sites/default/files/files/RD 3_4_1 Working Paper 2 O1_2ii 270218 - published.pdf
[8] https://www.hutton.ac.uk/sites/default/files/files/RD 3_4_1 Working Paper 3 O1_2ii 260218 - published.pdf
[9] https://www.hutton.ac.uk/sites/default/files/files/Wilson and Copus 3_4_1 Working Paper 4 - published.pdf
[10] https://www.hutton.ac.uk/sites/default/files/files/RD 3_4_1 O2_2ii WP5 October 2018 - publish.pdf
[11] https://www.hutton.ac.uk/sites/default/files/files/Services of General Interest (SGI) in the Scottish Sparsely Populated Area (SPA) - Exemplar Services.pdf
[12] https://www.hutton.ac.uk/sites/default/files/files/RD 3_4_1 Working Paper 8 O2_3i 220219.pdf
[13] https://www.hutton.ac.uk/sites/default/files/files/RD341_WP1_Population_Potential_data.csv
[14] https://www.hutton.ac.uk/sites/default/files/files/RD341_WP1_Population_Potential_data_metadata.pdf
[15] https://www.hutton.ac.uk/sites/default/files/files/RD341_oa11_lu_spasub6_SPAonly.csv
[16] https://www.hutton.ac.uk/sites/default/files/files/RD341_OA91_LU_SPASUB6_SPAonly.csv
[17] https://www.hutton.ac.uk/sites/default/files/files/RD341_OA01_LU_SPASUB6_SPAonly.csv
[18] https://www.hutton.ac.uk/sites/default/files/files/RD341_DZ11_LU_SPAFLAG_SPAonly.csv
[19] https://www.hutton.ac.uk/sites/default/files/files/RD341_DZ01_LU_SPAFLAG_SPAonly.csv
[20] https://www.hutton.ac.uk/sites/default/files/files/RD341_SCAP_LU_SPAFLAG_SPAonly.csv
[21] https://www.hutton.ac.uk/sites/default/files/files/RD341_PARCODE_SPAFLAG_SUBREGION_6_LOOKUP_SPAonly.csv
[22] https://www.hutton.ac.uk/sites/default/files/files/RD341_oa11_lu_spasub6_Full.csv
[23] https://www.hutton.ac.uk/sites/default/files/files/RD341_OA91_LU_SPASUB6_Full.csv
[24] https://www.hutton.ac.uk/sites/default/files/files/RD341_OA01_LU_SPASUB6_Full.csv
[25] https://www.hutton.ac.uk/sites/default/files/files/RD341_DZ11_LU_SPAFLAG_Full.csv
[26] https://www.hutton.ac.uk/sites/default/files/files/RD341_DZ11_LU_SUBREGION_6_Full.csv
[27] https://www.hutton.ac.uk/sites/default/files/files/RD341_DZ01_LU_SPAFLAG_Full.csv
[28] https://www.hutton.ac.uk/sites/default/files/files/RD341_DZ01_LU_SUBREGION_6_Full.csv
[29] https://www.hutton.ac.uk/sites/default/files/files/RD341_SCAP_LU_SPAFLAG_Full.csv
[30] https://www.hutton.ac.uk/sites/default/files/files/RD341_SCAP_LU_SUBREGION_6_Full.csv
[31] https://www.hutton.ac.uk/sites/default/files/files/RD341_PARCODE_SPAFLAG_SUBREGION_6_LOOKUP_Full.csv
[32] http://www.gov.scot/Resource/0049/00498654.pdf
[33] http://www.gov.scot/Resource/0050/00504338.pdf
[34] https://www.hutton.ac.uk/research/departments/social-economic-and-geographical-sciences
[35] https://www.hutton.ac.uk/research/segs-active-projects